The framework / 03

Connections

Use these connections to describe, assess and manage risks, and to explain them in a risk register or report.

The headings in a register stand for different concepts. These connections explain how the entries belong together. Arrows show the labelled direction of a relationship; plain lines show a comparison or association.

01 · Describing the risk

Risk, causes and consequences

A risk is a possibility of harm or loss. Causes explain how it could come about; consequences explain what could follow. Several causes may contribute, and further consequences may depend on additional circumstances. Make each connection clear rather than treating a list of causes and outcomes as an explanation.

Example: A restaurant faces the risk that a guest suffers an allergic reaction. An incorrect allergen record could lead staff to serve an unsuitable dish. The reaction could then require treatment and interrupt the guest’s stay.

Risk, causes and consequences
Risk, causes and consequencesRisk, causes and consequencesPossible causeIncorrect allergenrecordPossible occurrenceUnsuitable dishservedPossible harmGuest allergicreactioncould lead tocould cause

02 · Describing the risk

Consequences and harm

A consequence is something that follows; harm is injury, damage or loss suffered by someone or something. A consequence can be harmful, beneficial or neutral. To explain a risk, identify the harmful possibility and who could suffer it, including any further developments needed for that harm to occur.

Example: A late produce delivery changes the kitchen’s preparation schedule. If the delay leaves too little time to prepare booked meals, the restaurant could lose sales. The changed schedule and the financial loss are distinct consequences.

Consequences and harm
Consequences and harmConsequences and harmOccurrenceLate producedeliveryConsequenceLess preparationtimePossible harmLost restaurantsalescan leavecould contribute to

03 · Describing the risk

Risk and objectives

Objectives identify what someone wants to achieve. A risk can explain how possible harm or loss could obstruct that achievement. Naming the objective helps establish why the possibility matters, but the objective alone does not describe the harm, its causes or who could be affected.

Example: A hotel aims to provide reliable rooms for arriving guests. There is a risk that a booking-system outage leaves confirmed reservations unavailable, causing guests disruption and the hotel lost revenue. This threatens its objective of reliable service.

Risk and objectives
Risk and objectivesRisk and objectivesRiskGuests disrupted bymissingreservationsObjectiveReliable servicefor arriving guestscould obstruct

04 · Describing the risk

Circumstances and exposure

Exposure identifies who or what is in circumstances where harm or loss is possible. The circumstances explain why that person or thing is vulnerable. Exposure can change with location, timing, dependencies and activity, even when the underlying source of danger remains the same.

Example: A café stores all its chilled ingredients in one cold room. If cooling fails overnight, all that stock could spoil before staff arrive. Keeping the ingredients together leaves the café exposed to a larger stock loss.

Circumstances and exposure
Circumstances and exposureCircumstances and exposureCircumstancesAll chilled stockin one cold roomExposureStock vulnerable tocooling failurePossible harmLoss of café stockleaveexposure to

05 · Assessing the risk

Likelihood and consequence

Likelihood describes the chance of a specified occurrence; consequence concerns what follows and how serious it could be. Keep their reference clear. The chance of a freezer failing is different from the chance of losing all its contents, which also depends on detection and recovery.

Example: A freezer failure may be possible during the coming season. Losing its entire contents also depends on how long it stays warm and whether staff move the stock. The assessment specifies which outcome its likelihood estimate concerns.

Likelihood and consequence
Likelihood and consequenceLikelihood and consequenceLikelihoodChance during thecoming seasonSpecified outcomeAll frozen stocklostConsequenceCost and disruptionof stock losschance ofseriousness of

06 · Assessing the risk

Likelihood, consequence and rating

A risk rating summarises an assessment using a stated method. That method may combine likelihood and consequence categories, but the rating is not itself a probability or a cause of harm. Explain the scales, assessment period and control assumptions so the result can be understood and compared.

Example: A hotel assesses the risk that a lift breakdown strands a guest. It selects likelihood and consequence categories under its own matrix, assuming existing maintenance and emergency arrangements. The matrix determines the rating; the category names need explanation.

Likelihood, consequence and rating
Likelihood, consequence and ratingLikelihood, consequence and ratingAssessment inputsLikelihood andconsequencecategoriesAssessment methodHotel’s stated riskmatrixRisk ratingCategory assignedby the matrixare combined usingassigns

07 · Assessing the risk

Inherent, residual and target risk

These assessments concern the same risk under different control assumptions. State which controls an inherent assessment excludes. Residual risk reflects the controls currently operating; target risk describes the intended position after planned changes. A target is an aim, so it needs checking once the changes are in place.

Example: A kitchen assesses burn injuries without its specified safeguards, with the safeguards currently operating, and with proposed equipment and training. These are its inherent, residual and target assessments. The proposed improvements cannot be counted as already effective.

Inherent, residual and target risk
Inherent, residual and target riskInherent, residual and target riskInherent assessmentSpecifiedsafeguards excludedResidual assessmentCurrent safeguardsconsideredTarget assessmentIntended risk afterplanned changescontrols differcurrent and intended

08 · Managing the risk

Controls, causes and consequences

A control should address a recognisable part of how harm could arise or develop. Some controls reduce contributing causes, some detect problems, and others limit consequences. Explain where each measure acts and what it is expected to change; one control rarely addresses every part of a risk.

Example: An extractor-cleaning programme reduces grease that could feed a kitchen fire. A suitable fire-suppression system limits a fire once it starts. Both address the risk that people are injured or property is damaged, but at different points.

Controls, causes and consequences
Controls, causes and consequencesControls, causes and consequencesPreventionRemove greasedepositsPossible occurrenceKitchen fireLimiting harmSuppress anestablished firereduces a cause oflimits the developmentof

09 · Managing the risk

Controls and their effectiveness

A control’s presence does not establish that it works. Effectiveness concerns whether it achieves its intended effect in the circumstances where it is needed. Inspection, testing and operating records can support that judgement. Consider both whether the measure is suitable and whether people actually use it.

Example: A temperature alarm detects a cooling problem and sends an alert. If staff respond in time, stock loss may be limited. If they respond too late, stock could spoil despite the alert.

A control’s purpose and what follows
Compare what follows the notification
A control’s purpose and what followsControls and their effectivenessControlTemperature alarmPurposeDetect a cooling problemand send an alertis intended toAfter the notification is receivedNotificationAlert receivedResponseStaff respondin timePossible effectStock lossmay be limitedfollowed bywith thispossibility
A control’s purpose and what followsControls and their effectivenessControlTemperature alarmPurposeDetect a cooling problemand send an alertis intendedtoNotificationAlert receivedResponseStaff respondin timePossible effectStock lossmay be limitedfollowed bywith thispossibility

A timely response may limit stock loss.

A control’s purpose and what followsControls and their effectivenessControlTemperature alarmPurposeDetect a cooling problemand send an alertis intended toAfter the notification is receivedNotificationAlert receivedResponseNo responsein timePossible effectStockcould spoilfollowed bywith thispossibility
A control’s purpose and what followsControls and their effectivenessControlTemperature alarmPurposeDetect a cooling problemand send an alertis intendedtoNotificationAlert receivedResponseNo responsein timePossible effectStockcould spoilfollowed bywith thispossibility

If no one responds in time, stock could spoil despite the alert.

Both scenarios assume the fault is detected and the alert reaches a staff member. The outcome depends on the response and the time available.

Another example: fire-door checks

A hotel has a procedure for checking fire doors. Records show checks occurred, but an inspection finds doors wedged open during deliveries. The evidence calls into question whether the procedure keeps the escape route protected during normal operations.

10 · Managing the risk

Treatment and controls

Risk treatment is a response chosen to change how a risk is managed. It may introduce or improve controls, change the activity or stop it. Distinguish a planned action from an operating control, and check the resulting effect before revising the assessment on that basis.

Example: A café plans to install a cold-room temperature alarm and train staff to respond. Installation and training are treatment actions. The working alarm and response arrangements become controls once they are in use and can be checked.

Treatment and controls
Treatment and controlsTreatment and controlsTreatment actionsInstall alarm andtrain staffOperating controlsAlarm and responsearrangementsReviewCheck detection andresponseare intended toestablishtests the operation of

11 · Managing the risk

Risk, appetite, tolerance and capacity

Consider a risk against three different things: the harm someone is broadly willing to face, the specific limits and conditions for proceeding, and the harm they can bear. Appetite, tolerance and capacity answer these respective questions. Willingness does not establish capacity, and capacity does not establish willingness.

Example: A restaurant considers accepting a large outdoor function. Its appetite allows weather-related disruption; its tolerance requires a workable indoor fallback. Its capacity depends on whether it could bear cancellation losses while still paying staff and suppliers on time.

Risk, appetite, tolerance and capacity
Risk, appetite, tolerance and capacityRisk, appetite, tolerance and capacityAppetiteWillingness to faceweather disruptionToleranceIndoor fallbackrequiredCapacityAbility to bearcancellation lossesapplied through limitsconsider alongside

12 · Managing the risk

Assessment and acceptance

An assessment describes the risk and the grounds for judging it. Acceptance is a decision to proceed despite a recognised possibility of harm or loss. A rating can inform that decision but does not make it. Identify the authorised decision-maker and any conditions attached to proceeding.

Example: A hotel assesses the risk that refurbishment noise disrupts guests. The general manager agrees to proceed with restricted work hours and alternative rooms available. The assessment supports the decision; acceptance includes those conditions rather than simply endorsing a rating.

Assessment and acceptance
Assessment and acceptanceAssessment and acceptanceAssessmentGuest disruptionand existingprecautionsAuthorised decisionProceed withrestricted workhoursConditionsAlternative roomsremain availableinformsqualify

13 · Reporting and oversight

Risk and responsibility

Managing a risk requires clear responsibility for decisions and work. The person accountable for overseeing the risk may differ from those operating controls or completing treatment actions. Assign each role to someone able to act, and make clear which decisions need another person’s authority.

Example: A hotel’s operations manager oversees the risk that guests are injured in a fire. Housekeeping keeps escape routes clear, while maintenance tests alarms. A proposed building alteration requires separate approval; overseeing the risk does not automatically grant that authority.

Risk and responsibility
Risk and responsibilityRisk and responsibilityControl operationHousekeeping andmaintenanceRisk oversightOperations managerApproval authorityAuthorisedbuilding-workdecision-makercoordinates andreviewsrefers decisions to

14 · Reporting and oversight

Indicators, incidents and assessment

Indicators and incidents provide evidence for reviewing an assessment. An indicator may signal changing conditions; an incident shows that something happened. Neither explains the whole risk on its own. Examine relevance, causes and control performance before deciding whether the likelihood, consequences or planned response should change.

Example: A restaurant sees more near misses involving wet floors, followed by a guest slipping. It reviews when floors become wet and how promptly staff respond. This evidence may justify revising its assessment and changing cleaning arrangements during service.

Indicators, incidents and assessment
Indicators, incidents and assessmentIndicators, incidents and assessmentIndicatorsMore wet-floor nearmissesAssessment reviewReconsiderconditions andcontrol performanceIncidentGuest slipsprovides evidence forprovides evidence for

15 · Reporting and oversight

Changes and escalation

A change in circumstances can make an earlier assessment or decision less reliable. Review what has changed and whether existing arrangements still suffice. Escalation brings the matter to someone with the necessary authority or resources when agreed limits, conditions or decision responsibilities require it.

Example: A venue learns that the contractor providing backup power cannot attend an event. The event manager reviews the increased disruption risk and refers it to the general manager because the approved plan depended on that backup being available.

Changes and escalation
Changes and escalationChanges and escalationChangedcircumstancesBackup powerunavailableReviewApproved plan nolonger holdsEscalationRefer to thegeneral managerprompts reviewidentifies the needfor

16 · Reporting and oversight

Connections between risks

Risks can be connected through a shared cause, a common dependency or one harmful occurrence contributing to another. Distinguish these relationships: two risks sharing a cause need not cause each other. Understanding the connection helps identify controls and avoid assessing related possibilities as if they were independent.

Example: A hotel power failure could spoil chilled food and disable its booking system. Both risks share a dependence on electricity. The food loss does not cause the booking disruption, although the two could occur together during the same outage.

Connections between risks
Connections between risksConnections between risksRiskChilled food spoilsShared causePower failureRiskGuests disrupted bybooking-systemoutagecould causecould cause

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